Propagation on networks: an exact alternative perspective

Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2012 Mar;85(3 Pt 1):031118. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.85.031118. Epub 2012 Mar 16.

Abstract

By generating the specifics of a network structure only when needed (on-the-fly), we derive a simple stochastic process that exactly models the time evolution of susceptible-infectious dynamics on finite-size networks. The small number of dynamical variables of this birth-death Markov process greatly simplifies analytical calculations. We show how a dual analytical description, treating large scale epidemics with a Gaussian approximation and small outbreaks with a branching process, provides an accurate approximation of the distribution even for rather small networks. The approach also offers important computational advantages and generalizes to a vast class of systems.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Computer Simulation
  • Models, Theoretical*
  • Stochastic Processes*