Predictors of acute bacterial meningitis in children from a malaria-endemic area of Papua New Guinea

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2012 Feb;86(2):240-5. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2012.11-0312.

Abstract

Predictors of acute bacterial meningitis (ABM) were assessed in 554 children in Papua New Guinea 0.2-10 years of age who were hospitalized with culture-proven meningitis, probable meningitis, or non-meningitic illness investigated by lumbar puncture. Forty-seven (8.5%) had proven meningitis and 36 (6.5%) had probable meningitis. Neck stiffness, Kernig's and Brudzinski's signs and, in children < 18 months of age, a bulging fontanel had positive likelihood ratios (LRs) ≥ 4.3 for proven/probable ABM. Multiple seizures and deep coma were less predictive (LR = 1.5-2.1). Single seizures and malaria parasitemia had low LRs (≤ 0.5). In logistic regression including clinical variables, Kernig's sign and deep coma were positively associated with ABM, and a single seizure was negatively associated (P ≤ 0.01). In models including microscopy, neck stiffness and deep coma were positively associated with ABM and parasitemia was negatively associated with ABM (P ≤ 0.04). In young children, a bulging fontanel added to the model (P < 0.001). Simple clinical features predict ABM in children in Papua New Guinea but malaria microscopy augments diagnostic precision.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Acute Disease
  • Algorithms
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Coma / complications
  • Endemic Diseases
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Logistic Models
  • Malaria / complications
  • Malaria / diagnosis
  • Malaria / epidemiology*
  • Male
  • Meningitis, Bacterial / complications
  • Meningitis, Bacterial / diagnosis
  • Meningitis, Bacterial / epidemiology*
  • Muscle Rigidity / complications
  • Papua New Guinea / epidemiology
  • Parasitemia / complications
  • Parasitemia / diagnosis
  • Prospective Studies
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Seizures / complications
  • Spinal Puncture / methods