Serum procalcitonin predicting mortality in exertional heatstroke

Emerg Med J. 2012 Feb;29(2):113-7. doi: 10.1136/emj.2010.107680. Epub 2011 Feb 18.

Abstract

Background: The aim of this study was to test if Procalcitonin PCT value at the time of admission is a predictor of mortality and/or a diagnostic marker of concomitant infection in exertional heatstroke.

Methods: 68 patients with exertional heatstroke admitted to the multidisciplinary intensive care unit were studied. Serum PCT was detected by means of a specific and ultrasensitive immunoluminometric assay within 2 h of admission. The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score was evaluated within 24 h of admission.

Results: There was no significant difference in PCT levels between concomitant infection and non-infection patients (p=0.712). Elevated PCT level in exertional heatstroke patients was associated with a more critical pathological state. PCT values in patients with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) were significantly higher than those without MODS (p=0.007.). PCT values were also positively correlated with APACHE II scores (r=0.588, p=0.016). PCT values in non-survivors were higher than in survivors at univariate regression analysis (p=0.017). After adjusting for confounders, PCT concentration also remained an independent determinant of mortality (OR 2.98; 95% CI 1.02 to 4.41; p=0.039). Receiver operating characteristic curve for PCT concentration was located above the reference line, which shows an association with mortality. The area under the curve for PCT concentration (0.705; 95% CI 0.547 to 0.862) was statistical significantly (p=0.019). As a predictor of mortality, PCT value was inferior to APACHE II score.

Conclusions: PCT value at the time of admission is an independent predictor of mortality, but maybe not a good indicator of concomitant infection in exertional heatstroke.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Area Under Curve
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Body Temperature / physiology
  • Calcitonin / blood*
  • Calcitonin Gene-Related Peptide
  • China
  • Heat Stroke / blood*
  • Heat Stroke / mortality*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Physical Exertion / physiology
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prospective Studies
  • Protein Precursors / blood*
  • Regression Analysis
  • Risk Factors
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • CALCA protein, human
  • Protein Precursors
  • Calcitonin
  • Calcitonin Gene-Related Peptide