Combining longitudinal discriminant analysis and partial area under the ROC curve to predict non-response to treatment for hepatitis C virus

Stat Methods Med Res. 2011 Jun;20(3):275-89. doi: 10.1177/0962280209341624. Epub 2010 Mar 3.

Abstract

A longitudinal discriminant analysis is applied to build predictive models based on repeated measurements of serum hepatitis C virus RNA. These models are evaluated through the partial area under the receiver operating curve index (PA index) and, the final selection of the best model is based on cross-validated estimates of the PA index. Models are compared by building 95% bootstrap confidence interval for the difference in PA index between two models. Data from a randomised trial, in which chronic HCV patients were enrolled, are used to illustrate the application of the proposed method to predict treatment outcome.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Review

MeSH terms

  • Antiviral Agents / therapeutic use
  • Area Under Curve
  • Confidence Intervals
  • Discriminant Analysis
  • Hepatitis C, Chronic / drug therapy*
  • Hepatitis C, Chronic / virology
  • Humans
  • Linear Models
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Models, Statistical*
  • RNA, Viral / blood
  • ROC Curve
  • Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic / statistics & numerical data
  • Treatment Failure*
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Viral Load

Substances

  • Antiviral Agents
  • RNA, Viral