A 38-gene expression signature to predict metastasis risk in node-positive breast cancer after systemic adjuvant chemotherapy: a genomic substudy of PACS01 clinical trial

Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2009 Aug;116(3):509-20. doi: 10.1007/s10549-008-0250-8. Epub 2008 Nov 20.

Abstract

Currently, no prognostic gene-expression signature (GES) established from node-positive breast cancer cohorts, able to predict evolution after systemic adjuvant chemotherapy, exists. Gene-expression profiles of 252 node-positive breast cancer patients (median follow-up: 7.7 years), mostly included in a randomized clinical trial (PACS01), receiving systemic adjuvant regimen, were determined by means of cDNA custom array. In the training cohort, we established a GES composed of 38 genes (38-GES) for the purpose of predicting metastasis-free survival. The 38-GES yielded unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 4.86 (95% confidence interval = 2.76-8.56). Even when adjusted with the best two clinicopathological prognostic indexes: Nottingham prognostic index (NPI) and Adjuvant!, 38-GES HRs were 3.30 (1.81-5.99) and 3.40 (1.85-6.24), respectively. Furthermore, 38-GES improved NPI and Adjuvant! classification. In particular, NPI intermediate-risk patients were divided into 2/3 close to low-risk group and 1/3 close to high-risk group (HR = 6.97 [2.51-19.36]). Similarly, Adjuvant! intermediate-risk patients were divided into 2/3 close to low-risk group and 1/3 close to high-risk group (HR = 4.34 [1.64-11.48]). The 38-GES was validated on gene-expression datasets from three external node-positive breast cancer subcohorts (n = 224) generated from different microarray platforms, with HR = 2.95 (1.74-5.01). Moreover, 38-GES showed prognostic performance in supplementary cohorts with different lymph-node status and endpoints (1,040 new patients). The 38-GES represents a robust tool able to type systemic adjuvant treated node-positive patients at high risk of metastatic relapse, and is especially powerful to refine NPI and Adjuvant! classification for those patients.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols / therapeutic use*
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / genetics*
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / metabolism
  • Breast Neoplasms / drug therapy
  • Breast Neoplasms / genetics*
  • Breast Neoplasms / secondary*
  • Chemotherapy, Adjuvant
  • Clinical Trials, Phase III as Topic
  • Cyclophosphamide / administration & dosage
  • Double-Blind Method
  • Epirubicin / administration & dosage
  • Female
  • Fluorouracil / administration & dosage
  • Gene Expression Profiling*
  • Humans
  • Lymph Nodes / drug effects
  • Lymph Nodes / pathology*
  • Lymphatic Metastasis
  • Multicenter Studies as Topic
  • Oligonucleotide Array Sequence Analysis
  • Postmenopause
  • Prognosis
  • Survival Rate
  • Treatment Outcome

Substances

  • Biomarkers, Tumor
  • Epirubicin
  • Cyclophosphamide
  • Fluorouracil