[The novel method of assessment of individual total cardiovascular risk for the population of Russia]

Kardiologiia. 2008;48(5):87-91.
[Article in Russian]

Abstract

Novel innovative technology of assessment of level of total cardiovascular risk with consideration of a broad list of parameters of the state of individual health and its determining factors is described. The proposed model of risk is based on results of 20-year prospective observation of large contingents of population of Russia. For the first time the model of risk was constructed taking into account in addition to traditional risk factors and clinical characteristics peculiarities of population of Russia, in particular level of education. It was found in prospective studies that level of education in this country appeared to be an independent marker of risk and that traditional risk factors (behavioral, biochemical etc) had different prognostic value at different levels of education. Novel scale of risk and elaborated on its basis computer program of risk assessment allow to widen indications to its application, elevate accuracy of estimation of risk of development of fatal cardiovascular diseases for population of Russia, to obtain for a concrete patient parameters of absolute as well as relative risk (in % of excess or lowering of risk relative to its average statistical value for population with same age, sex, and level of education). The elaborated technology of estimation of total individual risk was tested on various contingents of patients with verified diagnoses of cardiovascular diseases as well as in groups of relatively healthy volunteers. Medical technology of risk assessment by novel scale is designed for application during primary screening of various population groups and can be fulfilled by both physicians and intermediate medical personnel. At present the computer program for assessment of cardiovascular risk based on this novel method is being prepared for clinical testing and subsequent implementation.

Publication types

  • English Abstract
  • Review

MeSH terms

  • Cardiovascular Diseases / epidemiology*
  • Humans
  • Morbidity
  • Population Surveillance / methods
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Risk Factors
  • Russia / epidemiology