Background: Because the arterial/alveolar oxygen tension ratio (a/APO2) is relatively constant throughout the entire range of fractional inspired oxygen concentration (FiO2), its use in determining the prognosis of acute pulmonary embolism (APE) was investigated.
Methods and results: This study retrospectively assessed 202 consecutive patients with APE confirmed by computed tomography or high probability lung scintigraphy. All patients underwent initial arterial blood gas analysis during the first 24 h of admission. Receiver-operating characteristic analyses were performed to determine the a/APO2 cut-off value for predicting 30-day death or 30-day composite events. Cut-off values for a/APO2 were used to determine stability in all patients and 2 subgroups (0.49 for all patients; 0.49 for FiO2 =0.21; 0.46 for FiO2 >0.21). Using the cut-off value of a/APO2 <0.49 for predicting 30-day death, the negative predictive value (NPV) was 90%, and the positive predictive value (PPV) was 30.3%. For the 30-day composite end point, the NPV was 81.3%, and the PPV was 40.9%. Excluding massive APE, the a/APO2 also had high NPV and moderate PPV in predicting short-term prognosis. This study additionally demonstrated a linear relationship between platelet count and a/APO2.
Conclusions: The cut-off value of a/APO2 <0.49 exhibits stability at variable FiO2 values and is a useful prognostic predictor in APE.