Risk score for peri-interventional complications of carotid artery stenting

Stroke. 2006 Oct;37(10):2557-61. doi: 10.1161/01.STR.0000240688.81918.32. Epub 2006 Sep 21.

Abstract

Background and purpose: Routinely available independent risk factors for the peri-interventional outcome of patients undergoing elective carotid artery stenting (CAS) are lacking. The rationale of the study was to create a risk score identifying high-risk patients.

Methods: We prospectively enrolled 606 consecutive patients assigned to CAS at a secondary care hospital. Various biochemical, clinical, and lesion-related risk factors were prospectively defined. The primary end point reflecting periprocedural complications encompassed minor and major stroke, nonfatal myocardial infarction and all-cause mortality within 30 days.

Results: Three percent of patients (n=18) experienced a nonfatal minor (n=13) or major (n=5) stroke. 1.3% of patients (n=8) died from fatal stroke (n=4) or other causes (n=4). No myocardial infarction was observed within 30 days after stenting. Multivariable analysis revealed diabetes mellitus with inadequate glycemic control (HbA1c > 7%), age > or = 80 years, ulceration of the carotid artery stenosis, and a contralateral stenosis > or = 50% as independent risk factors. A risk score formed with these variables showed a superior predictive value (C-statistic = 0.73) compared with single risk factors. The presence of 2 or more of these risk factors identified patients with a risk of 11% for a periprocedural complication compared with 2% in patients with a score of 0 or 1.

Conclusions: In patients undergoing elective CAS, a risk score based on routinely accessible variables was able to identify patients at high-risk for atherothrombotic events and all-cause death within 30 days after the intervention.

Publication types

  • Clinical Trial

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Carotid Arteries / surgery
  • Carotid Stenosis / surgery*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Myocardial Infarction / epidemiology
  • Myocardial Infarction / etiology
  • Postoperative Complications / epidemiology*
  • Postoperative Complications / mortality
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Stents*
  • Stroke / epidemiology
  • Stroke / etiology