Three methods were applied to estimate the carrier risk of the daughter of an obligate carrier of the Duchenne gene in a pedigree of Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD). According to Mendel's law of segregation, the daughter (III-3) of the obligate carrier (II-2) has a 50% chance of being a carrier. III-3 is also found to have a normal value in a carrier test, creatine phosphate kinase (CPK), and so the Bayesian analysis in risk estimation shows that the posterior probability that she is a carrier (25%). The restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) linkage analysis indicates that the probability that III-3 is a carrier less than 5%. This result can be included in the Bayesian analysis to give an even lower risk of less than 2%. Our study demonstrates that the best result of carrier risk estimation can be obtained by a simultaneous application of Mendel's law, RFLP linkage analysis and the Bayesian analysis.