Risk stratification in chronic heart failure: independent and incremental prognostic value of echocardiography and brain natriuretic peptide and its N-terminal fragment

J Am Soc Echocardiogr. 2006 May;19(5):522-8. doi: 10.1016/j.echo.2005.12.027.

Abstract

Background: It was the aim of this study to compare the prognostic impact of echocardiography and brain natriuretic peptide and its N-terminal fragment (NT-proBNP) in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF).

Methods: In all, 73 patients with CHF underwent conventional 2-dimensional/Doppler echocardiography and Doppler tissue analysis of systolic, early and late diastolic mitral annular velocities. The mitral filling pattern was classified as restrictive or nonrestrictive. NT-proBNP measurements were carried out on a bench-top analyzer. A cardiac event (rehospitalization caused by worsening CHF, cardiac death, urgent cardiac transplantation) was defined as combined study end point.

Results: During follow-up of 226 +/- 169 days, 27 patients had an event (rehospitalization because of CHF, n = 18; cardiac death, n = 7; urgent transplantation, n = 2). On multivariate Cox regression analysis, a restrictive filling pattern, NT-proBNP, the ratio of peak early diastolic mitral flow to mitral annular E' velocity were independent prognostic predictors. A risk stratification model based on the 3 strongest independent predictors separated groups into those with good, intermediate, and poor outcome (event-free survival of 78%, 46%, and 0%, respectively).

Conclusions: In patients with CHF, Doppler echocardiography, Doppler tissue imaging, and NT-proBNP provide independent and incremental prognostic information. A combined use of echocardiography and NT-proBNP may help to improve risk stratification in this patient population.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Controlled Clinical Trial

MeSH terms

  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Chronic Disease
  • Echocardiography, Doppler / statistics & numerical data*
  • Female
  • Heart Failure / blood
  • Heart Failure / diagnosis*
  • Heart Failure / epidemiology*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain / blood*
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care / methods*
  • Peptide Fragments / blood
  • Prevalence
  • Prognosis
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Risk Factors

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Peptide Fragments
  • pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain