Discordant utility of ideal body weight and body mass index as predictors of mortality in lung transplant recipients

J Heart Lung Transplant. 2005 Feb;24(2):137-44. doi: 10.1016/j.healun.2003.09.040.

Abstract

Background: An upper limit of 130% predicted ideal body weight (PIBW) has been promulgated for assessing lung transplant (LTx) candidacy, but no data in the lung transplant population support this value. A prior study used body mass index (BMI) to suggest greater mortality risk in obese allograft recipients, but the number of studied patients was small.

Methods: Pre-operative PIBW percentage and BMI were obtained for all first-time, adult LTx recipients at our institution (n = 283). We compared survival data at 90 days and as of July 31, 2002, using multivariable regression and Cox modeling.

Results: There were 46 obese (BMI > or = 30) patients and 72 patients >130% PIBW, including 43 patients previously thought to fall within a normal PIBW range who were reclassified as overweight for this analysis. Cox modeling revealed no significant impact of PIBW (>130% or continuous) or BMI (>30 kg/m(2) or continuous) on overall survival. Predicted ideal body weight also had no influence on 90-day mortality. When we tested PIBW in the group previously deemed of acceptable weight, we likewise found no association with mortality at 90 days or overall. For BMI only, 90-day odds ratios for death were significantly greater for obese (BMI > or = 30; odds ratio, 3.16; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-9.48) patients than for normal-weight patients.

Conclusion: Indices of pre-operative obesity did not predict long-term outcome in this large cohort of LTx recipients. The data suggest that BMI stratification may identify a group of patients at risk for increased short-term mortality, whereas PIBW is not a significant outcome predictor.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Body Mass Index*
  • Body Weight
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Lung Diseases / mortality
  • Lung Diseases / physiopathology
  • Lung Diseases / surgery
  • Lung Transplantation / mortality*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Obesity / complications
  • Patient Selection*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Risk Assessment
  • Sex Factors
  • Statistics as Topic
  • Survival Analysis
  • Treatment Outcome