Prospective evaluation of a model of prediction of invasive bacterial infection risk among children with cancer, fever, and neutropenia

Clin Infect Dis. 2002 Sep 15;35(6):678-83. doi: 10.1086/342064. Epub 2002 Aug 23.

Abstract

A risk prediction model for invasive bacterial infection (IBI) was prospectively evaluated among children presenting with cancer, fever, and neutropenia. The model incorporated assessment of 5 previously identified risk factors: serum level of C-reactive protein (CRP) >/=90 mg/L, hypotension, identification of relapse of leukemia as the cancer type, platelet count of </=50,000 platelets/mm(3), and recent receipt of chemotherapy [16]. Children were uniformly evaluated at enrollment and were classified as having high or low risk for IBI according to a model that considers the number and type of variables present. Of the 263 febrile episodes evaluated during a 17-month period, 140 (53%) were in IBI-positive children. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of the model were 92%, 76%, 82%, and 90%, respectively. Identification of these 5 risk factors during the first 24 h of hospitalization was helpful in discriminating between children with a high or low risk for IBI.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Bacterial Infections / epidemiology
  • Bacterial Infections / etiology*
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Fever / etiology*
  • Humans
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Neoplasms / complications*
  • Neutropenia / etiology*
  • Prospective Studies
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Risk Factors