Deep Learning Model for Predicting Proliferative Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Dynamic Contrast-Enhanced MRI: Implications for Early Recurrence Prediction Following Radical Resection

Abstract

Rationale and objectives: The proliferative nature of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is closely related to early recurrence following radical resection. This study develops and validates a deep learning (DL) prediction model to distinguish between proliferative and non-proliferative HCCs using dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI), aiming to refine preoperative assessments and optimize treatment strategies by assessing early recurrence risk.

Materials and methods: In this retrospective study, 355 HCC patients from two Chinese medical centers (April 2018-February 2023) who underwent radical resection were included. Patient data were collected from medical records, imaging databases, and pathology reports. The cohort was divided into a training set (n = 251), an internal test set (n = 62), and external test sets (n = 42). A DL model was developed using DCE-MRI images of primary tumors. Clinical and radiological models were generated from their respective features, and fusion strategies were employed for combined model development. The discriminative abilities of the clinical, radiological, DL, and combined models were extensively analyzed. The performances of these models were evaluated against pathological diagnoses, with independent and fusion DL-based models validated for clinical utility in predicting early recurrence.

Results: The DL model, using DCE-MRI, outperformed clinical and radiological feature-based models in predicting proliferative HCC. The area under the curve (AUC) for the DL model was 0.98, 0.89, and 0.83 in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets, respectively. The AUCs for the combined DL and clinical feature models were 0.99, 0.86, and 0.83 in these sets, while the AUCs for the combined DL, clinical, and radiological model were 0.99, 0.87, and 0.8, respectively. Among models predicting early recurrence, the DL plus clinical features model showed superior performance.

Conclusion: The DL-based DCE-MRI model demonstrated robust performance in predicting proliferative HCC and stratifying patient risk for early postoperative recurrence. As a non-invasive tool, it shows promise in enhancing decision-making for individualized HCC management strategies.

Keywords: Deep learning; Dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI; Early recurrence; Hepatocellular carcinoma; Prediction model.